Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 188.042087 217.282950 250.542019 291.373759 340.425498 397.796625 470.476079
2025-09-21 147.042343 183.616837 229.326964 291.407314 374.695615 484.276484 642.237391
2025-09-28 124.941122 164.472959 217.196043 294.120593 406.003565 566.883717 823.506978
2025-10-05 114.924879 158.140659 219.044855 313.605613 461.364906 691.760796 1096.021078
2025-10-12 106.287808 151.794845 218.995266 329.083670 512.327718 819.720635 1409.036825
2025-10-19 95.522650 140.521542 209.512217 327.592131 534.728072 904.412493 1669.960209
2025-10-26 89.095829 134.838084 207.552955 337.452660 577.521865 1033.735864 2057.223891
2025-11-02 82.781424 128.436486 203.368381 342.454240 611.962148 1154.718124 2468.347054
2025-11-09 77.547632 123.115176 200.159419 348.416642 648.980086 1289.382150 2960.895458
2025-11-16 71.975418 116.565201 193.931143 347.604555 671.952152 1399.227525 3435.030305
2025-11-23 67.034475 110.567518 187.926302 346.200359 693.205873 1510.307607 3959.771126
2025-11-30 63.231576 106.184528 184.332474 349.001675 724.122753 1652.738207 4643.109493
2025-12-07 57.013393 97.293568 172.148205 334.150918 716.394361 1707.743700 5125.158922
2025-12-14 53.108701 92.356066 167.137035 334.212650 745.463494 1874.554870 6113.506783
2025-12-21 49.987122 88.542047 163.826010 337.410362 783.208142 2080.405707 7406.379985
2025-12-28 49.045136 88.810077 168.783567 360.398091 879.003015 2502.778318 9992.918595
2026-01-04 47.687627 88.087744 171.546809 378.692377 967.448438 2944.206641 13174.073669
2026-01-11 44.832509 84.023061 166.588181 376.928182 997.071681 3193.109645 15634.688018
2026-01-18 43.237240 82.405654 166.830852 388.596154 1071.521307 3650.798189 20011.411776
2026-01-25 41.365143 80.014044 165.022880 394.518923 1129.667692 4076.156332 24892.953672
2026-02-01 39.714767 77.940142 163.702171 401.583283 1194.241919 4569.415849 31281.444565
2026-02-08 37.713708 74.913478 159.776936 400.620866 1230.700849 4956.390584 37612.030677
2026-02-15 35.838270 72.004957 155.823800 398.956911 1264.610866 5355.403805 45101.215603